Write a report:
Required Data for Analysing UK Inflation Dynamics
The data are available on Weblearn under: "Assessment" –> "Assessment Brief Comp 001: Individual Coursework 001 (1000 Words) 30%" –> "Assessment Details and Marking Criteria".
Time Period: January 2000 – November 2025
Frequency: monthly
Requirements:
1.Define each variable
2.Discuss its economic significance in relation to inflation (using academic literature and external reference).
Define Dependent Variable and Independent Variables
Dependent variable: UK inflation (e.g., Consumer Price Index – CPI).
Independent variables: Money Supply (M4), Oil Prices (Crude Oil Index), Exchange Rate (US Exchange Rate), Interest Rates (UK Gilt 3-month), Wages (Average Weekly Earnings).
Generate time-series
Genr (Workfile menu) Formula
Generate time-series graphs (e.g. line, scatter plot)
Visualize data trends (time series graph, scatter plot)
Quick (main menu) Graph
View Descriptive Statistics
Descriptive statistics (mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis)
Quick (main menu) Series Statistics Histogram and Stats
Quick (main menu) Group Statistics Descriptive Statistics Common sample
Provide correlation matrix
Quick (main menu) Group Statistics Correlation Type the series (variables) names in the box
Perform unit root test (ADF test)
Quick (main menu) Series Statistics Unit Root Test enter Series Name (here ‘cpi) ADF test Level
Check if the variable is non-stationary
If p-value > 0.05, the variable is non-stationary, and differencing (dlog) is needed.
To perform ADF test for the first-difference of GDP
From Unit Root test results:
View (Workfile menu) Time Series Diagnostics Unit Root Test Standard Unit Root Test ADF test 1st difference
Notes: In time series econometrics, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test is used to determine whether a variable is non-stationary at its levels (i.e., whether it has a unit root). If a variable is found to be non-stationary at its levels but stationary at its first difference (i.e., it follows an I(1) process), then taking the first difference is typically necessary to achieve stationarity.
Cover Page
Table of Contents
Abstract
1.Introduction
2.Analysis of UK Inflation Dynamics
2.1Research Overview
2.2Descriptive statistics
2.3ADF Unit Root Test
3.Conclusion
Reference
Appendix A: Pricing Calculations
1.Introduction and Data Visualization (30 Marks)
2.Summary Statistics (30 Marks)
3.Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) Unit Root Test (30 Marks)
4.Presentation, Structure, and Referencing (10 Marks)
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